by
Patrick Dunleavy, Impact of Social Sciences:
http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/impactofsocialsciences/2014/01/30/social-sciences-research-is-riding-high-mooc/
With
four fifths of economic value-added found in services, the UK is now
primarily a service economy.
This is great news for social science
disciplines who have demonstrated a strong influence in these
industries.
Whilst there are glimpses of optimism, argues Patrick Dunleavy,
vulnerabilities still remain.
Given that only one in nine of the 30,000
social science researchers work in research-only jobs (compared to one
in three in STEM disciplines), the social sciences must respond to the
advent of digital disruption in more dynamic ways.
This piece originally appeared on The Conversation and is reposted below under CC BY-ND.
The social sciences can now be seen as substantial UK industry, worth
£23.4bn a year in broad economic terms according to my research.
But
subjects such as politics, economics, business, law and sociology are
not being given due recognition for their contribution to the UK’s
service economy and labour market. The direct spend on university social
science comprises just above a tenth of this total, coming out at
£2.7bn a year.
But we need to also look at the indirect economic benefits of social
science departments procuring goods and services, and at the multiplier
effects of social scientists’ wages on the rest of the economy.
As new
research for a book,
The Impact of the Social Sciences shows, these increase the total contribution to the economy of university social science to £4.8bn a year.
And new
analysis by the Times Higher Education also shows that social science student numbers, and hence staff numbers have been growing consistently.
The remaining £19.4bn a year of impact is comprised of spending by
firms, government and public sector agencies, non-governmental
organisations and the media who employ some 380,000 post-graduate
qualified social scientists in professional and analysis occupations.
Because of limitations in the labour force statistics, we can only get a
conservative view of how much these other organisations are spending on
translating and mediating social science research.
Translators of social science. Cambridge Econometrics, for LSE Impacts Project. Numbers rounded
The two biggest groups are nearly 180,000 professionals in government
and public services (costing £8.7bn a year); and 170,000 analysts and
research translators in finance institutions and the banking industry
(costing £9.8bn a year).
Our research also identified 40,000
professionals working in the consultancy industry (costing £1bn a year,
half of which goes in helping the public sector).
Previous research on
the
careers of social science graduates found that 3.5 years after graduation, 84% were in employment, compared to 78% of science graduates.
STEMming the flow
Two basic factors underlie the booming social sciences sector. First,
the UK is essentially a services-based economy. Four fifths of economic
value-added
is now in services.
Social
science disciplines connect closely with services industries in many
different dimensions, while most of the efforts from the science,
technology, engineering and mathematics (STEM) disciplines in the UK are
still trying to focus on a shrinking UK manufacturing base.
Some STEM research plays a key role in “productising” forms of
services, such as websites which allow users to book flights without
relying on travel agents, or devices that let people check their blood
pressure at home without needing health professionals.
But even here,
social science knowledge is key in finding what does or does not work
(for example, what types of people can or can’t reliably check their own
blood pressure).
Second, we live now on a globalising and intensively investigated
planet, where human-dominated systems (such as cities, markets, states,
physical and digital networks) increasingly constitute the focus of many
concerns.
In studying these systems, social scientists are converging
with the most applied STEM disciplines - especially medicine and health
sciences, IT and software engineering.
Equally important has been the rising importance of social science in
studying “human-influenced systems”, a broad category that now includes
virtually all other processes across the globe. With rising human
populations, almost everything earth-bound is now human-influenced.
Think, for instance, of how even global climatic systems are responding
to fossil fuel emissions, and of how closely any mitigation efforts
depend on understanding social, political and economic dynamics.
The old polarisation of social science versus STEM disciplines is
withering away fast. This change has accelerated recently as the social
sciences in the digital era also incorporate and adapt key STEM science
methods - such as analysing big data, using more randomised control
trials and experiments, and more systematic review.
Estimated value of research grants and contracts to UK universities in 2010-11 Impact of the Social Sciences
Yet there is still a key potential vulnerability. Both government and
private sector and charity funding of research are still heavily skewed
towards STEM sciences, which receive four-fifths of research funding,
according to our research.
The UK government has been in the grip of
dated “techno-nationalist” misconceptions of the sources of economic
progress. And the UK private sector focuses often on short-term
“bottom-line” factors and things that give an individual comparative
advantage to firms.
This is not an area where social science (with its
collective-research progress mode) can offer “discovery” breakthroughs
or patentable advances. As a result, the social sciences get just over a
sixth of the amount of total research funding that goes into STEM.
Generous, secured funding means that over a third of the 67,000 STEM
sciences researchers in the UK work in research-only jobs, where they
can focus their whole energies and activity on advancing knowledge.
By
contrast only one in nine of the 30,000 social science researchers has a
research-only job - the huge majority must combine research and
teaching.
MOOCs are not the end
Some
pessimistic observers
have argued that the advent of massively open online courses (MOOCs)
could begin to heavily erode the numbers of people involved in
university teaching over the next decade.
If this happened, it could hit
STEM disciplines hard, where 65% of researchers also teach, but social
sciences harder - because 89% of their researchers and departments rely
on teaching for their basic incomes.
Yet the
significance of MOOCs remains uncertain.
Any MOOC effect is likely to be complex, focusing mainly at the
sub-university level, likely to produce an upgrading of university start
levels, and to actually result in more research-focused undergraduate
learning than in the past.
Fundamentally, MOOC doom-merchants are
operating with a non-dynamic model of what society needs and gets from
education and research.
If we can begin to do simple things more cheaply and more quickly -
for instance, draw demand and supply curves, or appreciate the
difference between a mean and a mode - we will move on very fast to try
and do vastly more complex things, which we hitherto accepted as beyond
our control.
That has been the number one lesson of the digital era, and
it will continue to be true whatever the scale of MOOCs’ effects. In
the contemporary development of human-dominated and human-influenced
systems, the social sciences have a secure and increasingly salient
role.
LSE Public Policy Group, which Patrick Dunleavy chairs, received
funding from the Higher Education Funding Council for England (HEFCE)
for the research reported here.
This article was originally published at
The Conversation. Read the
original article.
Note: This article gives the views of the author, and not the
position of the Impact of Social Science blog, nor of the London School
of Economics. Please review our Comments Policy if you have any concerns on posting a comment below.
About the Author
Patrick Dunleavy is Co-Director of Democratic Audit, Chair of the LSE Public Policy Group, and a Professor of Political Science at the LSE.